China and World Economy Under the Cloud of Trade Disputes: New Challenges November 30 - December 1, 2020

Organized by Global Research Unit, City University of Hong Kong ● Bank of Finland Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT) ● Gabelli School of Business, Fordham University

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November 30, 2020 (Monday, all times are in Helsinki time unless stated otherwise)

10:00

Welcoming Remarks: Yin-Wong Cheung, Iftekhar Hasan, Iikka Korhonen

Session 1    Renminbi – I, Frank Westermann, Osnabrück University

10:10-11:00

(09:10-10:00
Marseille, France)

Shadowing the Dollar or Basket Pegging in China?

Fatemeh Salimi Namin, Aix-Marseille University (with Eric Girardin, Aix-Marseille University)

Discussant: Louisa Grimm, Osnabrück University

11:00-11:50

(10:00-10:50 Osnabrück, Germany)

The Evolution of Offshore Renminbi Trading: 2016 to 2019

Frank Westermann, Osnabrück University (with Yin-Wong Cheung, City University of Hong Kong; Louisa Grimm, Osnabrück University)

Discussant: Yabin Wang, Hong Kong Monetary Authority

11:50-14:00

Break

Session 2           Renminbi - II, Chair: Laura Solanko, BOFIT, Bank of Finland

14:00-14:50

(13:00-13:50 Frankfurt, Germany)

Markets vs. policies: Can the US dollar's dominance in global trade be dented?

Georgios Georgiadis, European Central Bank (with Helena Le Mezo and Arnaud Mehl, European Central Bank; Cedric Tille, Geneva Graduate Institute & CEPR)

Discussant: Hiro Ito, Portland State University

14:50-15:40

(07:50-08:40, New York, USA)

 

U.S. monetary policy uncertainty and RMB deviations from covered interest parity

Xingwang Qian, SUNY Buffalo State College (with Zhitao Lin, Jinan University)

Discussant: Risto Herrala, BOFIT, Bank of Finland

15:40-15:50 Break

Keynote session,  Chair: Tuomas Välimäki, Bank of Finland

15:50-17:00

(08:50-10:00,
Boston, USA)

America and Asia-Pacific Trade After Donald Trump

Peter A. Petri, Brandeis University

   

December 1, 2020 (Tuesday, all times are in Helsinki time)

Session 3           Chinese capital markets, Chair: Iikka Korhonen, BOFIT, Bank of Finland

8:00-8:50

(22:00-22:50, November 30, San Francisco, USA)

Competitive Effects of IPOS: Evidence from Chinese Listing Suspensions

Mark M. Spiegel, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (with Frank Packer, Bank for International Settlements)

Discussant: Isabel Yan, City University of Hong Kong

8:50-9:40

(14:50-15:40, Shanghai, China)

The Effect of the China Connect

Chang Ma, Fudan University (with John Rogers, Federal Reserve Board; Sili Zhou, Fudan University)

Discussant: Denis Davydov, University of Vaasa

9.40-10:00

Break

Session 4           Growth and liquidity, Chair: Zuzana Fungáčová, BOFIT, Bank of Finland

10:00-10:50

What 31 provinces reveal about growth in China?

Eeva Kerola, BOFIT, Bank of Finland (with Benoit Mojon, Bank for International Settlements)

Discussant: Bertrand Candelon, Université Catholique de Louvain

10:50-11:40

(16:50-17:40, Hong Kong)

China’s Bond Market Liquidity: Measures and Driving Forces

Gaofeng Han, Hong Kong Institute of Monetary and Financial Research (with Hui Miao, International Monetary Fund; Yabin Wang, Hong Kong Monetary Authority)

Discussant: Zhitao Lin, Jinan University

11:40-11:45

Concluding Notes